Low Flu Activity Now, Late Tripledemic Feared

THE WOODLANDS, TX – As Montgomery County residents enjoy a surprisingly mild flu season, medical experts are issuing a cautious warning: this quiet period might be the calm before a potential late-season surge of respiratory illnesses. While influenza activity remains “minimal” across Texas, the persistent presence of COVID-19 and RSV has healthcare providers on edge, fearing a “tripledemic” scenario could still unfold in the coming weeks.

According to the Texas Department of State Health Services (DSHS), flu activity statewide was reported as “minimal” for the week ending February 17, a stark contrast to typical flu seasons that usually peak between December and February. Locally, hospitals are reflecting this trend. Houston Methodist The Woodlands Hospital, for instance, reported fewer than five positive flu cases during that same week. St. Luke’s Health-The Woodlands Hospital echoed similar observations, noting “really very few” flu diagnoses.

However, this lull in flu cases has not brought widespread relief. Dr. Charles Sims, a regional medical director for St. Luke’s Health-The Woodlands, points to the continued circulation of other respiratory viruses as a significant concern. “While RSV activity has seen a recent downturn, the lingering presence of these other respiratory viruses creates a tricky situation,” Dr. Sims explained.

Indeed, Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) and COVID-19 have been far more prevalent than influenza for most of this season. Dr. Julie Boom, from Texas Children’s Hospital and Baylor College of Medicine, underscores the ongoing threat. “We’re still deep in respiratory virus season,” she emphasized, reminding the public that the risk of infection remains.

This confluence of flu, RSV, and COVID-19 circulating simultaneously is what healthcare providers term a “tripledemic,” and it’s what keeps them vigilant. The potential for a late-season flu surge, possibly hitting in March or even April, compounded by the existing burden of COVID-19 and RSV, could place considerable strain on local healthcare resources.

Adding to the worry are lower national flu vaccination rates this season. Only 45% of people have received their flu shot, a slight decrease from 47% last year. Public health officials and medical experts are strongly urging those who haven’t yet been vaccinated to do so, stressing that it is not too late to get protection. Flu vaccines are widely available at pharmacies, doctor’s offices, and local public health clinics.

Beyond vaccination, practicing good hygiene, such as frequent handwashing, staying home when feeling sick, and considering masks in crowded indoor spaces, remain crucial mitigation strategies. These measures are vital to curb the spread of all respiratory viruses and help prevent any potential late-season surge from overwhelming local hospitals and clinics.

The hope among healthcare professionals is that this “honeymoon period” of low flu activity will persist, allowing communities to navigate the remainder of the respiratory virus season without a sudden increase in illness that could strain healthcare systems as spring approaches. For the latest information on respiratory virus activity in Texas, residents can visit the Texas Department of State Health Services website at dshs.texas.gov.